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CIA Director Bill Burns has been in Cairo engaging in intensive negotiations over a ceasefire and hostage deal in the Israel-Hamas conflict, acting as a key intermediary for the United States in talks involving Israel, Hamas, Egypt, and Qatar. Hamas is considering a new proposal by Egypt that would involve releasing 33 hostages in exchange for a temporary ceasefire in Gaza. While American officials are hopeful that Hamas will accept the proposal, the group’s leader, Yahya Sinwar, must give final approval, and communication with him has been challenging. The White House has not yet received a response from Hamas on the proposal.

American officials see the current proposal as the best chance to end the violence in Gaza and hope that a temporary ceasefire resulting from a hostage deal could create space for a more lasting peace agreement. However, if a deal is not reached, Israel is prepared to launch a ground invasion into the Gaza city of Rafah, which could strain relations with the United States. Despite pressure to accept a ceasefire, Netanyahu’s far-right coalition has urged continued military action to eliminate the threat from Hamas, rather than prioritizing the return of hostages.

Israeli officials have briefed the Biden administration on plans to evacuate civilians from Rafah in the event of a military operation, but no final plan has been presented. American officials are unsure if Israel has a feasible and acceptable plan for potential action in Rafah, and preparations such as constructing tents for sheltering civilians are not sufficient for the large number of people who may be affected. Israel has been in communication with aid organizations about the potential operation, informing them of plans to close the Rafah crossing and redirect aid through Kerem Shalom, while expanding the safe zone in al-Mawasi for evacuees.

The situation in Gaza remains volatile, with uncertainties surrounding the potential for a ceasefire agreement and the threat of military action in Rafah. American officials continue to engage with Israeli counterparts to assess plans for evacuating civilians and providing humanitarian aid in the event of an operation. The ongoing negotiations and tensions underscore the complexity of the Israel-Hamas conflict and the challenges of finding a peaceful resolution to the ongoing violence and humanitarian crisis in Gaza. Additional reporting on the situation is continually being updated to provide a comprehensive understanding of the evolving situation.

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