Former President Donald Trump’s early lead in polling against President Joe Biden has started to slip as he faces trial in two separate cases in Manhattan. Recent polls have shown Biden ahead of Trump in the November election. A Marist poll released on Monday showed Biden leading Trump by three points in a head-to-head matchup, and by five points when third-party candidates are included. This is a swing in Biden’s favor compared to previous polls in April. The NBC survey also showed Biden ahead of Trump when including additional candidates on the ballot.
Morning Consult’s latest poll taken in April shows Biden with a one-point lead over Trump, a shift from earlier polls that had Trump leading. Trump’s polling lead over Biden has decreased by over four percentage points since January, according to RealClearPolitics’ poll tracker. The Economist poll tracker shows the two candidates tied since April 5th for the first time since September. Of the 13 polls released this month, Biden either beats or ties with Trump in six surveys, continuing a trend that began in March. Biden’s increased campaign activity and fundraising efforts have been attributed to his recent boost in the polls.
In a surprising turn of events, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has emerged as a potential factor in the election. While earlier surveys suggested he could draw more votes from Biden, recent polls show he may actually hurt Trump. Kennedy Jr. is running as an independent and has been petitioning for ballot access in several key swing states. Polls have indicated that Biden and the Democratic party may be losing support among key demographics, including Black, Latino, and younger voters. This could have an impact on the overall race.
Biden and Trump are gearing up for a historic rematch after securing their parties’ nominations. Both candidates are facing low favorability ratings below 45%, and voter enthusiasm for the election is at a 20-year low. Trump has centered his campaign around his legal troubles, accusing prosecutors and judges of colluding with Biden to undermine his chances in the election. Biden has criticized Trump for his role in the Capitol riots and his stance on Supreme Court justices. Immigration has also become a key issue in the election, with border crossings reaching record highs under Biden’s administration.
Looking ahead to the election, the focus is on swing states and the potential impact of independent candidates like Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Polls continue to show Biden gaining ground over Trump, with positive signs for the former Vice President. As the race progresses, both candidates will need to address key issues and appeal to a wide range of voters in order to secure victory in November.
