Former President Trump is once again vying to win back the White House in November, and a key battleground state that he narrowly carried over President Biden four years ago is North Carolina. A recent poll from Quinnipiac University shows Trump with a slight edge over Biden in North Carolina, with 48% of registered voters supporting Trump and 46% backing Biden in a head-to-head 2024 election rematch. The survey, conducted from April 4-8, reveals strong support for Biden among Democrats (95%-2%) and for Trump among Republicans (94%-3%), with Trump leading Biden 49%-41% among independents.
In addition to a slight edge over Biden in a head-to-head matchup, Trump also leads when independent and third-party candidates are included in the survey. Trump stands at 41% in the poll, with Biden at 38%, independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 12%, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein and independent Cornell West each at 3%. The release from Quinnipiac University notes that “there is no clear leader in either of these matchups as the leads are within the margin of error,” indicating a tight race for North Carolina’s 16 electoral votes.
While Biden is aiming to flip North Carolina in November, he faces a challenging contest against Trump in the battleground state. During a recent visit to the state, Biden emphasized that he has “delivered for the South,” but the Quinnipiac University poll suggests that the presidential contest in North Carolina remains tight. However, the poll does highlight a significant lead for Democratic state attorney general Josh Stein over Republican Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson in the gubernatorial race, with Stein holding an eight-point advantage (52%-44%).
North Carolina and New Hampshire are the only competitive gubernatorial races this year among the 11 states holding contests. The Quinnipiac University poll surveyed 1,401 registered voters in North Carolina, with a margin of error of 2.6 percentage points. As the 2024 campaign trail heats up, it will be crucial for both Trump and Biden to focus on winning over voters in key battleground states like North Carolina, where the race remains tight and the outcome is unpredictable.
Overall, the latest polling data from Quinnipiac University underscores the importance of North Carolina as a crucial battleground state in the upcoming presidential election. With Trump holding a slight edge over Biden in both head-to-head and expanded matchups, the contest for North Carolina’s electoral votes is shaping up to be closely contested. As the candidates ramp up their campaigns and focus on winning over key demographics, the outcome in North Carolina could play a pivotal role in determining the next occupant of the White House in November.
