Over the weekend, Russian forces made a rapid incursion into Ukrainian territory, capturing the village of Ocheretyne and potentially also Novobakhmutivka. This breach in Ukrainian defenses is seen as a significant threat, as it could potentially collapse the defensive line west of Avdiivka that has held for months. Ukrainian commanders are in a state of panic, rushing the 100th Mechanized Brigade, a lightly-equipped unit, to counterattack Russian forces in the area.
The collapse in Ocheretyne was not the fault of the 47th Mechanized Brigade, which was following orders to withdraw for much-needed rest after a year of combat. The failure of the 115th Mechanized Brigade to maintain the defensive line allowed the Russian 30th Motor Rifle Brigade to take advantage of the situation and advance into Ocheretyne. Ukrainian headquarters responded by ordering the battle-weary 47th Mechanized Brigade to return to the front line and the 100th Mechanized Brigade to counterattack.
The 100th Mechanized Brigade, a former territorial unit recently upgraded to active duty, managed to intercept the Russian forces as they tried to advance further west. The brigade, although lacking heavy Western-made equipment, successfully stopped the advance towards the village of Prohres. However, the situation in and around Ocheretyne remains tense, with Ukrainian troops holding positions in the village while also maintaining fire control over the southern part.
The lack of reserves west of Avdiivka is evident, with the Ukrainians having to rely on a comparatively weak brigade such as the 100th Mechanized Brigade to confront the advancing Russian forces. The presence of the Russian 90th Tank Division in reserve around Avdiivka poses a significant threat, as their involvement could lead to a wider breakthrough and force Ukrainian troops to retreat west to their next line of defenses. The recent $1 billion in fresh munitions provided by the United States is seen as a reason for hope in Ukraine.
The situation in Ocheretyne highlights the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine, with Ukrainian troops facing significant challenges in defending their territory. The need for additional reinforcements and supplies is evident, as the Ukrainian forces mobilize to prevent further advances by the Russian army. The delicate balance along the front line in eastern Ukraine remains precarious as both sides continue to vie for control of various strategic locations.
